For Plant Vogtle employees & retirees

The time to act is before the outcome is obvious.

At Vogtle, recognizing a problem is only the beginning. What matters next is whether someone takes responsibility—and acts while there is still time.

Your retirement deserves that same discipline.

March 20, 1990 · Unit 1

A shutdown reactor.
A cooling problem.
No room for complacency.

A truck damaged an electrical support in the switchyard. Unit 1 lost power to vital systems. One emergency diesel was unavailable for maintenance; the other failed to operate normally. Residual heat removal stopped.

The reactor was shut down, but its fuel still needed cooling. Operators had a developing problem to resolve.

Historical incident summary. Read the public chronology and its NRC reference.

36 minutes

From loss of vital power to re-energizing the A-side bus.

9:20 a.m.

Electrical disturbance; essential cooling is interrupted.

9:40 a.m.

Operators declare a Site Area Emergency.

9:56 a.m.

The emergency diesel is started using its emergency-start function. Power is restored, allowing cooling to resume.

The response mattered because the condition required action before it grew worse.

The other kind of urgency

Sometimes decisive action means refusing to move ahead.

Urgency does not always mean moving faster. It can mean giving a discovered problem priority over everything that was supposed to happen next.

2023 · UNIT 3 STARTUP TESTING

The pipe moved. The schedule had to move, too.

Startup testing revealed vibration in piping associated with the automatic depressurization system. Georgia Power said supports called for in the plans had not been installed. The supports were added, and startup was delayed.

A planned milestone did not make an unresolved problem acceptable.

Company statements reported by AP · February 16, 2023
2024 · UNIT 4 STARTUP TESTING

Find it. Correct it. Finish the testing.

Georgia Power disclosed cooling-system vibration during Unit 4 startup testing. The company said the issue had been corrected, but additional testing meant commercial operation would be delayed.

Confidence followed corrective work and testing.

Company disclosure reported by AP · February 1, 2024

These startup findings were not declared nuclear emergencies. They illustrate problems detected and addressed before commercial service; the records cited do not establish that a disaster was imminent or identify a single individual who prevented one.

The decision that comes first

Recognizing risk is useful.
Responding to it is what changes the plan.

In retirement, the opportunity to prepare comes before a loss forces you to reconsider spending, sell investments, or postpone a decision you thought was settled.

Prepare in advance
Examine exposureFind what could damage the plan.
Make decisionsSet reserves, limits and a response.
Meet the disruptionWork from a prepared plan.
Wait for the damage
Leave it unresolvedAssume there will be time later.
Experience the lossIncome needs continue.
Decide under pressureReassess with less capital.
Conceptual decision paths, not predicted investment results. Preparation cannot eliminate losses or guarantee a better outcome.

A market does not provide a plant's instruments, procedures or defined operating limits. There is no dependable alarm that tells an investor exactly when a reset will begin.

That makes examining your exposure before a crisis especially important.

“You do not have to know the day a problem will become a crisis to recognize that it deserves attention now.”
Wilder Bailey
Bailey Financial Services, Inc.
My assessment of the markets

I believe a major reset is coming.
I believe preparation deserves attention now.

My view is that markets are in historic bubble territory, and that the combination of valuation risk, debt and persistent inflation could produce a reset more severe than most investors are prepared to endure.

I am concerned that it could begin before many families have examined what a substantial decline would do to their retirement. I cannot tell you when it will start, how deep it will go, or how long recovery will take.

My conviction is strong enough that I believe waiting for the damage before reviewing the plan is the wrong order of decisions.

The work is to decide what must be protected, what exposure is excessive, and how your income would continue through a difficult period.

— Wilder Bailey

This is my investment outlook and judgment, not a reliable prediction of market timing or an assurance that a reset will occur. Read my case for preparing now.

From the plant to your household

The stakes become personal.

A retirement setback can change more than an account balance. It can change the income available to your spouse, the help you can give your family, and the freedom you expected after years of work.

The discipline at workThe question at home
Identify dependencies.How much of your financial security depends on one employer or one stock?
Maintain a usable backup.What would fund essential spending if selling investments became especially painful?
Plan the response before the event.What action is already agreed upon if your current exposure is more than your retirement can bear?
Verify readiness before proceeding.Have pension choices, withdrawals, taxes and investment risk been examined together?
Plan for restoration.How would you reinvest after a decline without relying on fear or a guess about the bottom?
The responsibility I accept

You know your plant.
My work is to understand the risks in your retirement.

I bring more than 25 years of experience and an independent advisor's perspective to that responsibility.

My job includes looking for the financial vulnerabilities that could do lasting harm—and helping you address them while you still have choices.

Why independence matters

What that means in practice

Diagnose. Review your holdings, employer concentration, income needs and the assumptions supporting your plan.

Decide. Establish appropriate exposure limits, spending reserves and withdrawal priorities with your circumstances in mind.

Act and reassess. Implement agreed changes, monitor the plan, and establish how capital could be redeployed as conditions change.

Managing downside risk and preserving the ability to participate in a recovery belong in the same conversation.

A necessary distinction

Acting thoughtfully also means understanding the cost of being early.

Markets can keep rising despite serious concerns. A defensive allocation can miss gains; cash can lose purchasing power. Repeated attempts to exit and re-enter can create costs, taxes and poor decisions.

A sensible plan has to account for those risks, too. Preparation should fit your household and leave room for the possibility that my outlook is wrong.

The reason to review your plan is to understand what you can withstand—not to place your retirement on a single forecast.

Five questions worth answering
  1. How much loss could your plan absorb before your lifestyle would need to change?
  2. Which holdings create your largest concentration of risk?
  3. How would you fund spending during a prolonged decline?
  4. What decisions should be made before market pressure makes them harder?
  5. Who is responsible for bringing those risks to your attention—and helping you act?
A conversation while choices remain

You spent years protecting what mattered.
Your retirement deserves deliberate attention.

You do not have to agree with every concern I have about markets. Give me the opportunity to examine whether your retirement is prepared for the possibility that those concerns prove justified.

Wilder Bailey · Watkinsville, Georgia
Wilder@BaileyFS.net

Continue the conversation

Sources & context

  1. March 20, 1990 incident: public incident chronology, which references NRC Information Notice 90-25, “Loss of Vital AC Power With Subsequent Reactor Coolant System Heat-Up.” The chronology is a secondary account; no claim of an inevitable meltdown is made here.
  2. Unit 3: Associated Press, February 16, 2023, reporting company statements about pipe supports and additional startup work.
  3. Unit 4: Associated Press, February 1, 2024, reporting Georgia Power's disclosure about vibration, correction and additional testing.

Bailey Financial Services, Inc. is a fee-only, state-registered investment adviser. This page reflects Wilder Bailey's analysis and opinion and is provided for general informational purposes. It is not individualized investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. No strategy can guarantee a profit, prevent all losses or successfully time a market decline or recovery.

Bailey Financial Services, Inc. is independent of and is not affiliated with or endorsed by Southern Company, Southern Nuclear, Georgia Power or Plant Vogtle. The historical examples illustrate the importance of attention and corrective action; they do not imply equivalent risks, procedures or predictability in investing. No individual employee endorsement is claimed.